La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Çaykur Rizespor v Samsunspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Çaykur Rizespor (Local)
Predicción 39.32%2.54momio equitativo
EV +6.17%
Ventaja +2.29%
Kelly +3.63%
Crecimiento +0.224%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.87%39.35%39.31%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.342.322.7044.84%42.68%43.10%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Samsunspor (Visitante)
Predicción 32.52%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%32.53%32.52%35.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.852.853.0038.46%35.12%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.831%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%28.12%28.17%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4534.72%30.56%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +6.17%E +2.29%K +3.63%G +0.224% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -3.26%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.39%EV -2.76%E -0.923%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| GTbets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -4.05%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.82%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -4.84%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -2.87%E -0.831%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:54 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.75%EV -7.64%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.75%EV -7.64%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 16:44 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -7.20%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.53%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -8.38%E -3.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -8.38%E -3.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -2.43%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -8.77%E -3.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%EV -8.77%E -3.78%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.83%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.43%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.36%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -7.94%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -18.92%E -6.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -12.31%E -5.52%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -12.31%E -5.52%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -12.31%E -5.52%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |