La escuela de los momios

Antalyaspor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Inicio: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Antalyaspor (Local)

Predicción 40.37%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%40.34%40.32%41.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.312.302.4048.78%43.34%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)

Predicción 31.28%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.217%
Ventaja -0.068%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.29%31.36%33.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.1937.04%34.34%34.48%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.74%28.37%28.33%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.273.4334.72%30.78%30.53%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 16:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 16:14
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:15
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.10%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -3.91%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:35
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.95%EV -4.31%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.42%EV -0.217%E -0.068%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.31%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:15
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.03%EV -4.72%E -2.00%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.47%E -0.466%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -2.77%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 16:45
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -4.72%E -2.00%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.62%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:45
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:14
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.03%E -0.978%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.02%EV -5.89%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:15
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.02%EV -5.89%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 16:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 16:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 16:24
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.98%E -5.08%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:35
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.98%E -5.08%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.98%E -5.08%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:35
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -7.54%E -3.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.03%E -0.978%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 16:15
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -12.42%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-13 16:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.13%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 16:15
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.98%E -5.08%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 16:25
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -9.56%E -4.27%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 16:50
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -9.56%E -4.27%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -10.37%E -4.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.71%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 16:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.96%E -4.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -13.98%E -5.08%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -18.36%E -6.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-13 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.31%EV -12.39%E -5.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -11.79%E -4.18%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 16:39
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.55%EV -17.23%E -8.41%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.79%EV -15.54%E -5.76%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.66%EV -17.80%E -6.14%K -9.37%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-13 16:35