Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Amed SK v Trabzonspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 18:30 UTC

Score final : Amed SK 2–1 Trabzonspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Amed SK (Local)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +2.82%
Avantage +0.801%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.53%29.18%29.22%30.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.203.5233.90%31.07%31.25%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.88%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.65%44.93%44.88%47.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.70%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV +0.538%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.187%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.89%25.90%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.553.8829.85%28.05%28.17%25.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Amed SK (Local) : 29.21% ; Trabzonspor (Visiteur) : 44.88% ; Match nul : 25.91%. Pour Amed SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.52, soit une espérance positive de +2.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV +2.82%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV +0.538%E +0.139%K +0.187%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-31 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -0.685%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%EV -2.15%E -0.640%K -0.913%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%EV -2.15%E -0.640%K -0.913%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 17:45
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.15%E -0.640%K -0.913%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 17:45
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -2.73%E -0.820%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.03%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -3.09%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 18:15
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 17:45
GTbets🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.35%EV -4.41%E -2.07%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV -1.02%E -0.266%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 18:14
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.83%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:45
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 18:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.10%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.04%E -6.14%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.04%E -6.14%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:05
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.49%E -6.40%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -7.10%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:25
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 17:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.20%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.20%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:05
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 18:25
NordicBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.58%EV -8.57%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.31%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Betsson🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.58%EV -8.57%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.31%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.53%EV -9.57%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:45
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:45
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -2.83%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:45
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.84%EV -8.90%E -4.38%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.53%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 18:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 18:20
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -13.83%E -7.21%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%0.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-08-31 18:25
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-31 18:25