Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Amed SK v Eyüpspor

2026-11-01 10:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Resultado del partido

32 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Amed SK (Local)

Predicción 72.16%1.39momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -3.60%
Kelly -14.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.65%72.06%72.32%73.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.281.291.3282.64%78.26%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Eyüpspor (Visitante)

Predicción 10.50%9.53momio equitativo
EV +4.96%
Ventaja +0.496%
Kelly +0.551%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.30%10.54%10.31%12.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.508.899.0010.0015.38%11.25%11.11%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 17.35%5.77momio equitativo
EV +0.257%
Ventaja +0.044%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.68%17.40%17.37%18.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.285.355.7821.74%18.94%18.69%17.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Amed SK (Local): 72.16%; Eyüpspor (Visitante): 10.50%; Empate: 17.35%. Para Eyüpspor (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 9.53. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 10.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.96%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.51%EV -4.75%E -3.60%K -14.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +4.96%E +0.496%K +0.551%G +0.027%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.79%EV +0.257%E +0.044%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 12:33
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.19%E -4.76%K -20.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +4.96%E +0.496%K +0.551%G +0.027%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 12:54
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +4.96%E +0.496%K +0.551%G +0.027%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 12:45
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.61%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.37%EV +3.91%E +0.395%K +0.439%G +0.017%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.02%EV -5.47%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 12:45
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.288%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.00%EV -0.813%E -0.086%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.70%EV -1.82%E -0.322%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.07%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.22%EV -4.49%E -0.493%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -7.64%E -5.97%K -27.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -9.80%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -9.80%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -9.80%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.50%EV -9.80%E -7.84%K -39.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -5.54%E -0.615%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.80%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.19%E -4.76%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -10.78%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.16%EV -11.25%E -9.14%K -48.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.44%EV -10.78%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -11.54%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 12:05
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.19%E -4.76%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.03%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.19%E -4.76%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.03%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.19%E -4.76%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.03%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.34%EV -9.80%E -7.84%K -39.21%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -18.66%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 12:26
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 70.72%EV -12.69%E -10.49%K -60.42%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.26%EV -20.23%E -2.66%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-25 12:25
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.92%E -5.36%K -23.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -21.28%E -2.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.60%E -0.836%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -9.08%E -7.21%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -23.90%E -3.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 68.65%EV -11.25%E -9.14%K -48.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.99%EV -31.78%E -4.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.36%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 69.07%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%16.8%2026-10-25 12:25