Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alanyaspor v Goztepe

Início: 2026-09-12 17:00 UTC

Final: Alanyaspor 2–2 Goztepe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alanyaspor (Local)

Previsão 42.81%2.34odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.51%42.79%42.83%44.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.172.182.2648.78%46.07%45.87%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Goztepe (Visitante)

Previsão 28.65%3.49odd justa
EV -0.886%
Vantagem -0.256%
Kelly -0.360%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.15%28.68%28.60%30.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.253.4633.33%31.02%30.77%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.55%3.50odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.356%
Kelly -0.501%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.46%28.54%28.58%29.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.273.4633.33%30.64%30.53%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alanyaspor (Local): 42.81%; Goztepe (Visitante): 28.65%; Empate: 28.55%. Para Goztepe (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.49. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.46, com valor esperado de -0.886%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.85%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.99%EV -0.886%E -0.256%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.95%E -0.866%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:36
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.95%E -0.866%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.95%E -0.866%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.73%EV -8.91%E -2.80%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.88%EV -3.23%E -0.953%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.39%E -2.44%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 16:46
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 16:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:45
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.95%E -0.866%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.74%EV -7.76%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.19%EV -9.51%E -3.00%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.07%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.74%EV -7.76%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.19%EV -9.51%E -3.00%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.60%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.60%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.37%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:35
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.39%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -10.94%E -3.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 16:59
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -2.03%E -0.594%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -1.23%E -0.356%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:51
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:59
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -1.17%E -0.340%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:35
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.60%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.97%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.74%EV -9.19%E -2.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.29%EV -8.08%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.20%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.51%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.77%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-12 16:55
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-09-12 16:55
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-09-12 16:46