La escuela de los momios

Servette v Grasshopper Zürich

Inicio: 2026-03-21 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Servette (Local)

Predicción 52.23%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%52.18%52.24%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.751.8561.73%57.36%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grasshopper Zürich (Visitante)

Predicción 21.99%4.55momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.293%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%22.03%21.92%23.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.5026.67%23.91%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.77%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.24%25.79%25.83%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.553.8032.26%28.08%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -3.37%E -1.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.77%EV -2.35%E -0.529%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:59
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.41%E -2.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -2.06%E -0.542%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -4.41%E -2.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -2.06%E -0.542%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 17:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -4.41%E -2.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 17:00
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.50%EV -4.94%E -2.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -3.67%E -0.837%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:59
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -4.94%E -2.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.43%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 16:59
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -5.98%E -3.32%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 16:59
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -6.50%E -3.63%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.377%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -10.31%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.03%E -0.228%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:59
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.50%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 16:59
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.50%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:00
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:00
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -7.03%E -3.95%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:59
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -4.33%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 16:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -5.43%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.50%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:51
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.55%E -4.26%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 16:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -9.82%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 16:58
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -8.59%E -4.91%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -14.22%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -9.12%E -5.24%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 17:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 17:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.64%E -5.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.02%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 17:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.64%E -5.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.64%E -5.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -17.52%E -4.67%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -10.68%E -6.25%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -9.82%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 16:57
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.51%EV -11.21%E -6.59%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -15.32%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.04%EV -11.73%E -6.94%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -7.63%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.06%E -0.542%K -0.736%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.06%E -0.542%K -0.736%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -12.25%E -7.29%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.23%E -0.733%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.67%EV -12.77%E -7.65%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -4.33%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -3.35%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 16:59
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -13.82%E -8.37%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.43%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 17:00
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -13.82%E -8.37%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.43%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.56%EV -13.82%E -8.37%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.15%EV -9.82%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.64%EV -14.86%E -9.12%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.96%EV -6.53%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 17:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.53%EV -15.38%E -9.50%K -24.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.97%EV -16.42%E -4.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.50%EV -18.81%E -5.97%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-03-21 17:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%3.5%2026-03-21 17:00