L’École des cotes

Servette v FC Zurich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Servette (Local)

Prévision 60.05%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -6.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.41%60.16%60.05%62.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.551.551.6073.53%64.68%64.52%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Zurich (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.24%5.48cote équitable
EV +5.77%
Avantage +0.995%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%18.09%18.29%19.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.974.805.8021.74%20.13%20.83%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.558%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.53%21.75%21.66%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.094.004.7028.57%24.48%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -11.13%E -7.52%K -23.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +5.77%E +0.995%K +1.20%G +0.069%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:53
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.30%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.12%EV +2.49%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.58%EV -3.15%E -0.706%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -6.33%E -4.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV +0.301%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +2.06%E +0.439%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.6%2026-03-07 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.301%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.28%E -0.507%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +0.301%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 16:55
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.36%EV -0.793%E -0.146%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.38%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV +2.06%E +0.439%K +0.558%G +0.012%3.6%2026-03-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.71%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:49
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 16:50
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -5.17%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:44
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -4.52%E -2.85%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:44
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:45
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.13%E -5.31%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 16:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 16:45
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.73%E -5.74%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 16:49
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.14%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -13.53%E -9.40%K -30.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -23.99%E -6.86%K -9.60%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-07 16:55
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.35%EV -18.34%E -13.48%K -50.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.69%EV -8.82%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.96%EV -17.48%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 16:55
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -12.93%E -8.92%K -28.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 16:50
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 18:05
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 16:44
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -7.53%E -4.89%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%EV -5.12%E -3.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 18:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -9.93%E -6.62%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -14.22%E -3.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:44
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -15.31%E -3.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -11.13%E -7.52%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.97%E -2.67%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-03-07 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-03-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-03-07 16:54
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.38%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.29%2.1%2026-03-07 16:55