La escuela de los momios

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Zurich

Inicio: 2026-02-21 19:34 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Predicción 36.85%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.887%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%36.88%36.85%38.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.482.6544.44%40.40%40.32%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Predicción 34.69%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.90%34.68%34.68%35.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.602.8041.67%38.12%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.46%3.51momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.44%28.46%29.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.303.4134.72%30.86%30.30%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.86%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.24%E -0.954%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.86%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.24%E -0.954%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 19:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -3.82%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -2.86%E -1.02%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.37%EV -2.96%E -0.868%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:29
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:29
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -5.67%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.81%EV -5.98%E -2.21%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.33%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:29
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -6.03%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.33%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.03%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.33%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.03%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.33%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.59%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 19:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.33%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.36%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -8.61%E -3.47%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.40%EV -8.98%E -3.64%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.60%EV -7.37%E -2.76%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:28
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:29
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 19:28
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 19:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 19:29
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.10%E -3.47%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -8.76%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.27%E -5.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.27%E -5.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 19:29
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.27%E -5.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 19:29
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -10.46%E -4.30%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.09%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 19:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.80%E -3.77%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.74%E -6.97%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.04%E -6.26%K -9.60%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 19:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.30%E -5.17%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.27%E -5.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -13.40%E -5.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.06%E -3.04%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -4.67%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -13.40%E -5.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -13.27%E -5.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -16.05%E -5.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-21 19:30
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -14.51%E -6.25%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -11.53%E -4.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -13.20%E -4.33%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 19:30
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.12%EV -17.09%E -7.60%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.09%EV -15.00%E -6.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.80%EV -17.47%E -6.02%K -9.20%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-21 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-02-21 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-02-21 19:30
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.84%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.75%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-02-21 19:30
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.23%2.7%2026-02-21 19:30