Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Grasshopper Zürich v FC St Gallen

2026-09-02 18:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Predicción 21.97%4.55momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.320%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.09%21.93%22.00%23.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.204.5026.32%24.15%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Predicción 54.92%1.82momio equitativo
EV -5.00%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -6.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.24%55.02%54.86%56.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.681.671.7362.11%59.58%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.11%4.33momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.84%23.05%23.14%24.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.963.954.2326.67%25.23%25.32%23.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 21.97%; FC St Gallen (Visitante): 54.92%; Empate: 23.11%. Para Grasshopper Zürich (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.50, con un valor esperado de -1.12%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -1.12%E -0.249%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.43%EV -2.24%E -0.529%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.32%E -0.754%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.27%EV -8.84%E -5.33%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.09%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.32%E -0.754%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.32%E -0.754%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -8.84%E -5.33%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.32%E -0.754%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%EV -8.84%E -5.33%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 19:30
1xBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.42%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -4.09%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 19:40
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.59%E -7.20%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 19:38
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -5.51%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.51%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -7.19%E -4.26%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 19:30
GTbets🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.61%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.61%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.00%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -5.55%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:50
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.19%E -4.26%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 14:59
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:34
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:34
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:40
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.71%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.87%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 19:39
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.19%E -4.26%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:49
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.91%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -11.01%E -2.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.70%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.28%EV -11.48%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 19:29
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 19:40
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.33%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.21%E -3.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.30%EV -10.49%E -6.43%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.17%EV -8.84%E -5.33%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 14:49
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:35
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.30%E -3.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -16.50%E -4.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.83%EV -9.94%E -6.06%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%15.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 35.46%1.67I 59.88%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 18.68%30.6%2026-08-30 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 35.46%1.67I 59.88%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 18.68%30.6%2026-08-30 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 35.46%1.67I 59.88%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 18.68%30.6%2026-08-30 19:35