La scuola delle quote

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Lugano

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Casa)

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV -4.95%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.21%25.01%25.06%26.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.643.693.8030.77%27.45%27.10%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lugano (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.09%2.04quota equa
EV -4.77%
Vantaggio -2.46%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.83%49.08%49.04%49.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.871.881.9457.47%53.54%53.19%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.90%3.86quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -0.767%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.13%25.91%25.91%26.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.533.553.7530.30%28.32%28.17%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.01%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.95%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:35
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -2.87%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:07
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:30
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:30
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:30
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:16
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:14
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:16
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.20%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.46%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.24%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:05
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.46%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 17:08
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.37%EV -7.71%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.76%EV -5.75%E -3.00%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -6.24%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:05
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:40
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -12.13%E -6.78%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -9.87%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 15:28
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.26%E -2.73%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 19:55
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 17:09
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 17:09
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.21%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 17:10
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -14.96%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -12.62%E -7.09%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 15:30
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -17.46%E -5.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-26 17:10
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 25.96%EV -18.71%E -5.76%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.48%EV -14.59%E -8.38%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.56%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%13.3%2026-07-26 15:30