Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich v Servette

Início: 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Zurich 2–1 Servette

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich (Local)

Previsão 24.21%4.13odd justa
EV +0.003%
Vantagem +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.38%24.43%24.19%27.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.654.1330.30%27.52%27.40%24.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Servette (Visitante)

Previsão 51.62%1.94odd justa
EV -0.897%
Vantagem -0.467%
Kelly -0.975%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.31%51.45%51.60%52.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.821.831.9259.88%55.02%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.17%4.14odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -0.644%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.96%24.11%24.21%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.823.804.0328.57%26.16%26.32%24.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zurich (Local): 24.21%; Servette (Visitante): 51.62%; Empate: 24.17%. Para FC Zurich (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.1299. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.1300, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.003%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.48%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 15:55
Coolbet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.66%EV -2.66%E -0.662%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:44
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 15:48
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:43
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 15:49
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 15:48
Everygame🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.59%EV -1.41%E -0.740%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -2.59%E -0.644%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.59%EV -1.41%E -0.740%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -2.59%E -0.644%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:10
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:40
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:44
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.64%E -4.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 15:48
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 15:49
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 15:49
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -14.20%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 15:50
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.31%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -0.897%E -0.467%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.38%EV -9.85%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.12%E -4.56%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -11.62%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.22%EV -13.80%E -8.26%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-01 15:54
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 15:44
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.20%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 15:14
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 15:10
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-01 15:50
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:25
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -18.88%E -5.64%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 08:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -5.54%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 12:30
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -20.09%E -6.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -9.67%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-01 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-08-01 15:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-08-01 15:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-08-01 15:55