L’École des cotes

FC Zurich v Grasshopper Zürich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 16:02 UTC

Score final : FC Zurich 2–1 Grasshopper Zürich

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 36.08%2.77cote équitable
EV +0.295%
Avantage +0.106%
Kelly +0.166%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.21%36.07%36.30%39.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.482.452.7843.10%40.32%40.82%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grasshopper Zürich (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.43%2.74cote équitable
EV +0.189%
Avantage +0.069%
Kelly +0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%36.38%36.40%37.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.552.7543.48%38.74%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.49%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.288%
Kelly -0.398%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.39%27.55%27.30%28.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.79%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV +0.295%E +0.106%K +0.166%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.65%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -6.81%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 15:59
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -0.426%E -0.154%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -6.00%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -0.426%E -0.154%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -6.00%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -2.59%E -0.960%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -2.59%E -0.960%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 15:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:59
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.74%E -4.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:00
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:58
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.04%E -0.288%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 15:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -6.20%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 15:59
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:59
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.74%E -4.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.10%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.74%E -4.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 16:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.78%E -4.77%K -7.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 15:59
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -10.74%E -4.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -13.41%E -4.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.56%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 16:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.56%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.21%E -7.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -17.53%E -5.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:59
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV +0.189%E +0.069%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:00
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -15.22%E -6.48%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -1.63%E -0.605%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.78%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 15:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.94%E -6.84%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.63%E -0.605%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:00
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -15.94%E -6.84%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -1.63%E -0.605%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -16.30%E -7.03%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:00
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -16.30%E -7.03%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.45%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-09 16:00
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-09 16:00
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.36%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-05-09 16:00