L’École des cotes

FC Zurich v FC Lausanne-Sport

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 25.61%3.90cote équitable
EV +0.656%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.224%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.56%25.62%26.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.503.9330.30%28.06%28.57%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.72%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.16%49.72%49.72%51.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.861.881.9559.52%53.77%53.33%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.66%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%24.72%24.66%26.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.653.604.0031.25%27.38%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.93I 25.45%NM 24.54%EV +0.656%E +0.167%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.29%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.17%EV -1.59%E -0.399%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:15
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -2.67%E -0.703%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 19:14
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%EV -2.67%E -0.703%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.98%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 19:15
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.67%E -0.703%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:14
GTbets3.78I 26.46%NM 24.97%EV -3.19%E -0.843%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 19:14
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -4.53%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 19:12
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 19:13
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:14
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 19:12
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.52%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.03%E -2.09%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.81%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.02%E -3.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.01%E -4.92%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-04 19:14
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.08%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -7.51%E -4.04%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:14
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.08%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.50%E -5.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 19:14
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:29
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:29
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:29
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:29
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.03%E -2.63%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:30
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.01%E -4.33%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 19:15
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -10.36%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -13.98%E -8.08%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -21.08%E -6.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -11.64%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -7.51%E -4.04%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.64%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -6.52%E -3.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.92%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.79%EV -10.00%E -5.52%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-04 19:15
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.92%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -12.98%E -7.42%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 19:15
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -12.92%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -13.98%E -8.08%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.41%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-04 19:15
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.04%EV -14.20%E -4.24%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.93%EV -16.46%E -9.80%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.04%EV -17.38%E -5.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -15.48%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -10.50%E -5.83%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-03-04 19:15