La escuela de los momios

FC Winterthur v FC Basel

Inicio: 2026-03-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Predicción 23.80%4.20momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.547%
Kelly +0.712%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.19%23.78%23.82%25.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.893.904.3028.57%25.72%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Basel (Visitante)

Predicción 53.12%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.10%53.19%53.16%56.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.721.711.8463.29%58.17%58.48%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.08%4.33momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.355%
Kelly +0.459%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%23.03%23.02%24.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.954.004.4028.57%25.33%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV +2.35%E +0.547%K +0.712%G +0.017%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +1.56%E +0.355%K +0.459%G +0.007%4.8%2026-03-22 05:55
GTbets4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59%EV -0.744%E -0.178%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.09%EV -9.17%E -5.36%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.32%EV -2.59%E -0.615%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 12:40
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -2.41%E -0.588%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:00
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -2.41%E -0.588%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:00
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.41%E -0.588%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.17%E -5.36%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 11:50
Pinnacle4.04I 24.75%NM 23.90%EV -3.84%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.48%EV -2.27%E -1.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 12:00
BetUS4.04I 24.75%NM 23.90%EV -3.84%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.48%EV -2.27%E -1.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.61%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 11:49
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 11:49
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.13%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:00
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 11:49
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:50
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:50
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:50
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:49
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:50
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 12:00
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:59
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 12:00
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.83%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.30%E -6.76%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 11:49
1xBet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -5.27%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -8.13%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.98%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:00
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.17%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:00
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.36%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.36%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.84%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -9.17%E -5.36%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.83%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 11:58
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.90%E -0.448%K -0.585%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 11:59
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.14%E -2.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 11:48
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -11.14%E -2.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 12:00
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:00
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 11:59
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.30%E -6.76%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 11:50
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.30%E -6.76%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 11:49
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:58
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.14%E -2.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 11:49
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:50
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.70%E -5.71%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.77%EV -13.95%E -8.61%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -19.21%E -5.49%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-22 11:50
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.64%E -5.02%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 11:49
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.64%E -5.02%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 11:59
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.33%EV -13.42%E -8.23%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 11:59
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -11.93%E -3.22%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 53.94%EV -16.08%E -10.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.03%EV -14.60%E -3.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-22 11:49
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.12%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 11:49
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.31%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -5.99%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 11:49
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -15.50%E -4.37%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 11:50
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.69%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.30%E -6.76%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 11:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-03-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-03-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-03-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-03-22 11:49
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-22 12:00