La escuela de los momios

FC Vaduz v FC St Gallen

2026-08-02 12:00 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Vaduz (Local)

Predicción 31.85%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -0.607%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.17%31.81%31.53%33.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.832.803.1039.22%35.35%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Predicción 43.31%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.78%43.39%43.50%44.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.122.132.2250.51%47.21%46.84%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.628%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.209%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.82%24.80%24.97%25.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.673.704.0028.99%27.27%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.27%E -0.411%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 12:15
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.87%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 13:20
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -2.87%E -0.940%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 13:20
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.29%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.25%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.46%EV -3.36%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 13:25
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.46%EV -5.10%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.20%EV -6.02%E -2.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 12:35
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.41%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 12:25
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -0.628%E -0.157%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 12:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 12:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 12:25
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 12:25
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.64%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 12:25
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.62%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:34
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.28%E -2.88%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.62%EV -5.58%E -2.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:35
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 12:23
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.24%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.11%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 12:39
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.90%EV -3.85%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 12:40
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 12:40
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 12:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.71%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 12:40
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 13:18
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 13:19
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.92%EV -8.18%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 12:40
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -14.25%E -7.20%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 12:34
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 12:39
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.81%E -3.33%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-27 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 12:25
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 12:25
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-27 12:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 32.96%EV -16.24%E -6.18%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-27 12:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -16.56%E -6.32%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -10.57%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 12:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.18%EV -18.79%E -7.37%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.30%EV -13.38%E -6.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.52%EV -14.29%E -4.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-27 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 31.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%8.9%2026-07-27 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 31.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%8.9%2026-07-27 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 31.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%8.9%2026-07-27 13:41
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%13.4%2026-07-27 12:35