La escuela de los momios

FC Sion v BSC Young Boys

Inicio: 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Predicción 39.51%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.04%39.54%39.49%41.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4647.62%43.39%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Predicción 33.79%2.96momio equitativo
EV +0.687%
Ventaja +0.231%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.42%33.85%33.77%35.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.472.722.752.9840.49%36.74%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.70%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.58%26.61%26.73%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.443.6033.33%29.12%29.07%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV +0.687%E +0.231%K +0.347%G +0.002%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 12:40
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.326%E -0.111%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.326%E -0.111%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 12:14
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.68%EV -6.75%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.09%EV -4.38%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -8.15%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:45
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -7.54%E -3.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.15%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 12:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:08
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 12:09
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:14
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:29
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:29
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -11.89%E -5.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 10:29
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -13.07%E -5.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.39%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 10:30
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.33%E -3.59%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:42
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.33%E -3.59%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:44
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.33%E -3.59%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -6.07%E -2.18%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 12:09
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:09
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:14
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:28
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.08%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 12:40
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.36%EV -2.80%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.82%EV -8.44%E -3.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.01%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 12:45
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 23:55
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:10
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 12:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 12:15
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 12:14
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -9.45%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 23:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -9.45%E -3.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 23:50
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 09:44
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 12:09
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 12:30
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 12:39
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 12:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 09:44
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 09:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 09:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -15.05%E -7.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -13.07%E -5.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.15%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -19.90%E -6.63%K -9.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-02-22 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.84%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-22 12:39
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.00%EV -12.28%E -5.53%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.36%EV -14.85%E -5.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -13.22%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-22 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -15.53%E -6.21%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 23:50
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -17.03%E -8.11%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -15.53%E -6.21%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -17.23%E -5.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-22 12:14
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.50%EV -9.91%E -4.35%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.54%EV -16.54%E -6.70%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -9.75%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 12:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-02-22 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-02-22 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-02-22 12:45
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-02-22 12:45
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-02-22 12:45