La escuela de los momios

FC Luzern v Servette

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:32 UTC

Final: FC Luzern 3–3 Servette

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Predicción 42.37%2.36momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%42.48%42.35%44.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.58%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Servette (Visitante)

Predicción 32.49%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.29%32.35%32.51%34.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.89%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.86%25.16%25.14%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.603.8532.26%27.62%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.05%EV -2.55%E -1.11%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.56%EV -3.50%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.38%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 18:29
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.12%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -3.82%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.12%EV -4.25%E -1.88%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.16%EV -3.82%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 18:29
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.21%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 18:29
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:28
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -5.52%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -7.40%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -7.99%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.40%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:29
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.40%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.40%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.05%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:26
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.05%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:29
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.05%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 18:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 18:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 18:29
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.64%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.64%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -8.37%E -2.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.40%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:28
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.91%E -4.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -10.18%E -4.80%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:30
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.18%E -4.80%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.25%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.73%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -0.897%E -0.294%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:24
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -14.54%E -5.53%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -22.07%E -7.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-09 18:29
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.841%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:29
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.841%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -2.52%E -0.841%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.25%EV -9.99%E -3.61%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -9.50%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 18:27
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 18:29
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.72%E -6.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -2.52%E -0.841%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.72%E -6.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -2.52%E -0.841%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -18.77%E -7.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-09 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-09 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-09 18:30
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.5%2026-05-09 18:30
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 34.94%1.16I 86.21%NM 36.14%1.45I 68.97%NM 28.92%138.5%2026-05-09 18:30