La escuela de los momios

FC Luzern v FC Lausanne-Sport

Inicio: 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Predicción 52.62%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%52.58%52.63%54.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.771.771.8664.10%56.59%56.50%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visitante)

Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.727%
Ventaja -0.177%
Kelly -0.235%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.81%24.22%24.31%26.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.733.754.1028.99%26.78%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.17%4.32momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.20%23.20%23.06%25.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.903.804.2529.41%25.64%26.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -2.12%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 15:15
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:15
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:15
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -3.70%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -16.47%E -4.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.26%EV -4.75%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.727%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.23%EV -3.86%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 15:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.75%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -3.63%E -0.913%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.82%EV -7.80%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -4.75%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 15:14
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.69%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.727%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -1.55%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.69%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.727%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -1.55%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:20
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.69%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.727%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -1.55%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.71%E -0.644%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 15:19
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.50%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -6.33%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.50%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:14
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.15%E -0.787%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:20
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.15%E -0.787%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 15:15
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.50%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 15:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:14
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -2.91%E -0.725%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -7.11%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.71%E -0.644%K -0.846%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:15
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:14
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.91%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.96%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:14
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.727%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:20
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.36%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.50%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.49%E -5.52%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.60%EV -12.11%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 15:09
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.86%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.15%E -0.787%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.02%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 15:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -5.57%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.34%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -6.78%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 15:20
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.99%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 15:15
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -9.20%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.54%E -6.20%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -16.47%E -4.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 15:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -11.97%E -3.15%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -12.12%E -7.26%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -12.83%E -3.56%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.24%E -6.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-22 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.86%EV -13.17%E -7.98%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -10.41%E -2.81%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.29%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 15:18
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.22%EV -17.91%E -11.48%K -31.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.72%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.06%EV -16.61%E -4.61%K -6.39%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 15:15
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%2.3%2026-03-22 15:20