L’École des cotes

FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Winterthur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Prévision 62.39%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -6.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.81%62.38%62.56%64.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5571.43%68.14%68.03%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Winterthur (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.60%6.02cote équitable
EV +3.77%
Avantage +0.603%
Kelly +0.717%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.17%16.57%16.46%18.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.615.756.2521.05%17.84%17.39%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.01%4.76cote équitable
EV -0.209%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.45%21.06%20.99%23.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.394.404.7526.67%22.78%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.82%EV -12.03%E -8.53%K -29.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV +3.77%E +0.603%K +0.717%G +0.027%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -19.12%E -4.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:48
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV +2.11%E +0.342%K +0.409%G +0.009%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 15:45
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.19%EV +1.94%E +0.316%K +0.377%G +0.007%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.64%EV -13.44%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 15:49
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.95%EV +0.280%E +0.046%K +0.055%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 15:40
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:40
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:40
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.209%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:20
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:14
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:15
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:14
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:14
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.385%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 15:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 20:14
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 20:05
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -11.41%E -8.03%K -27.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 05:30
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.09%EV -11.41%E -8.03%K -27.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 20:05
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.49%EV -12.66%E -9.04%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.08%EV -3.71%E -0.639%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -18.07%E -4.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 15:50
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -4.54%E -0.789%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:45
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.64%EV -6.20%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.51%EV -8.19%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 04:34
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.36%E -0.731%K -0.933%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 15:49
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -2.31%E -0.497%K -0.633%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 15:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 15:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 15:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 15:30
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 15:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 15:39
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.83%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -8.69%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:40
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.46%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -10.35%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -1.26%E -0.268%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.32%EV -12.03%E -8.53%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -12.01%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 15:49
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.03%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:40
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.84%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.10%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.03%EV -14.50%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.87%EV -6.51%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.62%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -15.33%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -1.26%E -0.268%K -0.340%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:49
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 15:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.66%E -5.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 15:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 15:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -16.99%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -21.22%E -5.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.78%EV -11.41%E -8.03%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -20.31%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 15:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -21.14%E -4.45%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-04-04 15:50