L’École des cotes

FC Basel v FC Lausanne-Sport

2026-08-01 16:00 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Prévision 44.20%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.17%44.20%44.34%46.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.062.082.1952.63%48.48%48.08%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.79%3.25cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.83%30.79%30.74%31.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.963.003.1037.04%33.78%33.39%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.841%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%25.01%24.92%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.703.9029.41%27.39%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 43.45%EV -3.21%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.83%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.69%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 09:10
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 09:10
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 09:10
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.69%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 09:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.19%EV -6.94%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 09:10
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -5.86%E -2.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -6.94%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 09:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 09:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.94%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 09:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 09:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 09:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 09:10
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 44.24%EV -7.63%E -3.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.03%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.72%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 09:16
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.07%E -3.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 09:20
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -8.07%E -3.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 09:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -8.07%E -3.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 09:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.44%E -0.625%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 09:16
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 09:16
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.19%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 09:15
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 09:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -11.61%E -5.80%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.19%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 03:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -11.61%E -5.80%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -6.19%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -12.93%E -6.57%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.94%EV -8.25%E -2.77%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.94%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.40%EV -13.38%E -6.82%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -11.19%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 09:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.82%E -7.09%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 09:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.82%E -7.09%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 09:15
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 46.04%EV -15.59%E -8.16%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 06:04
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.20%EV -16.03%E -8.44%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.10%EV -16.87%E -6.25%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.70%EV -14.95%E -4.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-26 09:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 45.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%13.1%2026-07-26 03:20