La escuela de los momiosEspañol
BSC Young Boys v FC Zurich
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
BSC Young Boys (Local)
Predicción 60.08%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -6.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%60.14%60.06%61.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.541.551.6072.46%65.06%64.52%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Zurich (Visitante)
Predicción 18.90%5.29momio equitativo
EV +0.145%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%18.87%18.87%20.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.804.755.3023.26%20.84%21.05%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.03%4.76momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.315%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.87%21.00%21.07%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.284.204.7026.67%23.37%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -9.29%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +0.145%E +0.027%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.22%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV -0.800%E -0.152%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.71%EV -2.22%E -0.476%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -0.800%E -0.152%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.800%E -0.152%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -0.800%E -0.152%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.23%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.16%E -0.248%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.23%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.16%E -0.248%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.16%E -0.248%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -10.63%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.94%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.04%EV -6.28%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.56%EV -7.89%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 60.79%EV -17.10%E -12.39%K -44.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.24%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.97%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.44%EV -10.49%E -7.04%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.47%EV -14.03%E -3.08%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -11.68%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.34%EV -11.69%E -7.95%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.28%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -13.49%E -9.37%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -21.14%E -5.64%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -18.18%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -18.18%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -18.18%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.07%EV -10.49%E -7.04%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -18.75%E -4.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -9.58%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.91% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |