L’École des cotes

BSC Young Boys v FC Basel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:32 UTC

Score final : BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC Basel

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prévision 51.88%1.93cote équitable
EV -0.916%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.49%51.82%51.68%53.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.9159.88%55.99%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Basel (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.360%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.18%26.22%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.7931.25%28.63%28.57%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.00%4.54cote équitable
EV +0.115%
Avantage +0.025%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.71%22.01%22.10%24.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.094.004.5529.41%24.46%25.00%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.32%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -1.00%E -0.265%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.21%EV +0.115%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-10 14:29
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.70%E -4.94%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:30
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:29
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.21%EV -7.14%E -3.99%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.68%EV -5.17%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:29
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -9.74%E -5.59%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:29
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:30
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:29
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.30%EV -7.15%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:30
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.25%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -13.37%E -8.00%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 14:29
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:30
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:30
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 14:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:28
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -10.77%E -6.26%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 14:29
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -10.77%E -6.26%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -10.77%E -6.26%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.39%EV -9.74%E -5.59%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.53%EV -11.97%E -3.55%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.89%E -2.69%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 14:17
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.03%E -2.18%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.25%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:29
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:29
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.85%E -7.65%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.83%EV -10.77%E -6.26%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-10 14:29
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -0.916%E -0.480%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.09%E -3.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:16
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.09%E -3.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.07%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.88%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.09%E -3.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 14:30
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.09%E -3.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.09%E -3.31%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.25%E -5.93%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.45%EV -13.37%E -8.00%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -25.19%E -7.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-10 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-05-10 14:29
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-05-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-05-10 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87%1.6%2026-05-10 14:29