La escuela de los momios

Varbergs BoIS v Landskrona BoIS

Inicio: 2026-06-22 17:02 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 2–3 Landskrona BoIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Predicción 49.57%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.21%49.56%49.65%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.821.831.9559.88%55.04%54.64%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Landskrona BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 24.00%4.17momio equitativo
EV +5.59%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.64%
Crecimiento +0.092%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%24.04%24.00%25.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.854.4028.57%25.46%25.97%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.433%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.155%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.52%26.40%26.36%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.8032.26%28.27%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -13.74%E -7.90%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +5.59%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +0.433%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%6.5%2026-06-22 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -13.74%E -7.90%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +5.59%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +0.433%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%6.5%2026-06-22 16:59
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -13.74%E -7.90%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +5.59%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +0.433%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%6.5%2026-06-22 16:59
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -13.74%E -7.90%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +5.59%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +0.433%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%6.5%2026-06-22 16:59
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 16:59
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 17:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -15.73%E -9.25%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +3.19%E +0.741%K +0.966%G +0.031%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -0.888%E -0.237%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -17.21%E -10.31%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV +0.787%E +0.187%K +0.246%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -3.53%E -0.967%K -1.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 16:59
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -0.967%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 16:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 17:00
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -10.67%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 17:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -13.25%E -7.57%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-22 17:00
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -3.33%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 16:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 16:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 16:59
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 16:58
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.80%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-22 16:59
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -5.81%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-22 16:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-22 17:00
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-22 16:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -14.24%E -8.23%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-22 17:00
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.32%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -10.25%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 16:59
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-22 16:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-22 17:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 17:00
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -4.32%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 16:58
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-22 17:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-22 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-22 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-22 16:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.25%E -7.57%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-22 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -14.24%E -8.23%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-22 16:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -16.01%E -4.57%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-22 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-06-22 17:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-06-22 17:00