La escuela de los momios

Sandvikens IF v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-06-14 15:02 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 3–2 IK Brage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Predicción 43.86%2.28momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.00%43.99%43.79%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.112.102.1851.81%47.48%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.81%29.81%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2235.71%32.90%32.79%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.32%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.477%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.88%26.20%26.40%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.7533.33%29.01%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.39%E -2.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 14:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.39%E -2.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -4.83%E -2.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -3.96%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 14:59
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 15:00
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-14 15:00
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-14 15:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 14:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -5.71%E -2.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 14:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.55%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.55%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 15:00
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.45%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -8.42%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 14:58
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -4.55%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 14:59
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -6.94%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -8.42%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 14:59
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 14:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 14:59
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 14:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.94%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 14:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 15:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -12.01%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 14:59
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.03%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 14:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 15:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 14:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.10%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-14 14:58
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 14:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 14:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 15:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.50%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -9.22%E -4.45%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 14:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 15:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-14 14:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 15:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 15:01
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.52%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.47%E -4.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 15:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -14.40%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-14 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -16.48%E -5.89%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -21.05%E -7.02%K -10.53%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.55%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-06-14 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-06-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-06-14 15:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%2.9%2026-06-14 15:00