La escuela de los momios

Sandvikens IF v IFK Värnamo

Inicio: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 0–1 IFK Värnamo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Predicción 33.40%2.99momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.16%33.28%33.47%34.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.9240.00%36.44%36.36%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Predicción 40.41%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%40.51%40.30%43.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4147.62%43.54%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.478%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%26.20%26.22%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.403.7533.33%29.10%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -2.47%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:34
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -2.47%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:35
BetUS2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -2.47%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:35
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -3.14%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -3.14%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:34
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -3.48%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.29%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:39
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.59%EV -9.88%E -4.43%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.20%EV -7.29%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.28%EV -4.94%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:30
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:30
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.14%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.67%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19%EV -4.41%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:34
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -1.79%E -0.478%K -0.652%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.15%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:34
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.15%E -2.57%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.03%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 12:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.16%E -4.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 12:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 12:35
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:35
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.34%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 12:34
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.58%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 12:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-15 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -21.43%E -7.14%K -10.72%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-17 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-18 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-18 12:35