La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Östersunds FK v Örebro SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Östersunds FK (Local)
Predicción 55.56%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.28%55.50%55.62%58.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.671.7864.52%60.03%59.88%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Örebro SK (Visitante)
Predicción 18.88%5.30momio equitativo
EV +4.22%
Ventaja +0.764%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.05%18.86%18.88%20.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.764.605.5222.73%21.01%21.74%18.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.56%3.91momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.40%25.64%25.51%27.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.633.7730.77%28.00%27.59%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.20%EV +4.22%E +0.764%K +0.933%G +0.039% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.60%EV -8.76%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +3.84%E +0.698%K +0.853%G +0.033% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +3.84%E +0.698%K +0.853%G +0.033% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +3.84%E +0.698%K +0.853%G +0.033% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +3.84%E +0.698%K +0.853%G +0.033% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -0.879%E -0.168%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 14:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.82%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 14:52 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -13.88%E -8.95%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -1.82%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -4.66%E -0.922%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 14:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.60%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.54%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.49%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.38%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 14:58 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -9.38%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -9.38%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.32%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.34%EV -6.10%E -3.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.86%EV -11.07%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.81%EV -3.65%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.55%E -3.26%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.03%EV -12.21%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.57%EV -4.43%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -5.55%E -3.26%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.03%EV -12.77%E -8.13%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.78%EV -13.15%E -2.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -15.66%E -4.74%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.59%EV -1.10%E -0.618%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -14.10%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-31 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 14:57 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -15.04%E -3.34%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -16.94%E -5.21%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -16.93%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -16.93%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 14:59 |