La escuela de los momios

Östersunds FK v Landskrona BoIS

Inicio: 2026-07-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 2–0 Landskrona BoIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östersunds FK (Local)

Predicción 43.38%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.88%43.37%43.60%46.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.122.102.2251.28%47.08%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Landskrona BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV +0.245%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.30%29.30%29.13%31.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.123.153.4235.09%32.10%31.75%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.30%3.66momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.34%27.27%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.403.5332.26%29.76%29.41%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -8.46%E -4.01%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV +0.245%E +0.072%K +0.101%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.99%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 12:50
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.02%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 11:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.72%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.40%E -7.90%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 12:55
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 12:55
BetAnything2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 12:55
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -7.16%E -3.34%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 12:54
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -8.80%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 12:40
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 12:40
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -6.29%E -2.91%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 12:40
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.72%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 12:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.72%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 12:53
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 12:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 12:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 12:55
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -11.06%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 12:00
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 12:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 12:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.72%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 10:40
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 12:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 12:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 12:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 12:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -10.63%E -5.16%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 12:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 12:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 12:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -13.53%E -4.59%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 12:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -13.53%E -4.59%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 12:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 12:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 12:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -11.06%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-18 10:44
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 42.97%EV -11.93%E -5.88%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.60%EV -16.46%E -5.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-07-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-07-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-07-18 12:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-07-18 12:55