La escuela de los momios

Östersunds FK v IFK Norrkoping

Inicio: 2026-06-21 15:02 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 0–2 IFK Norrkoping

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östersunds FK (Local)

Predicción 35.03%2.85momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.42%34.95%35.01%36.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.652.7341.67%38.12%37.74%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 37.15%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.728%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.50%37.16%37.34%39.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.432.6443.48%40.82%41.15%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.25%27.89%27.65%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.303.333.5035.71%30.26%30.03%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 34.99%EV -4.36%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.29%E -0.872%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -7.38%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:59
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.28%EV -4.36%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -10.10%E -4.17%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 14:59
Coolbet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.11%EV -5.06%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 14:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.72%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -1.92%E -0.728%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.72%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -1.92%E -0.728%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:00
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.72%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.51%EV -1.92%E -0.728%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.65%E -0.757%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.65%E -0.757%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.65%E -0.757%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.65%E -0.757%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -5.41%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -14.55%E -6.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-21 15:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 15:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 15:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -7.16%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -9.32%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 14:59
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 14:50
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.15%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 14:58
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.99%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 14:56
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 14:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 14:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -11.58%E -4.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -13.44%E -5.77%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -6.82%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 14:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 14:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 14:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -12.41%E -4.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -22.12%E -7.90%K -12.29%G +0.000%17.4%2026-06-21 14:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.17%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%15.8%2026-06-21 14:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -15.92%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.55%E -6.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-06-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.88%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-06-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-21 15:00