L’École des cotes

Östers IF v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 15:00 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 2–1 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 42.30%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%42.76%42.25%45.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.122.102.3050.51%47.06%47.62%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV +5.49%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%30.60%31.10%32.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.4035.71%32.74%33.33%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.67%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.427%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.64%26.65%27.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.463.503.8130.77%28.93%28.57%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +5.49%E +1.62%K +2.29%G +0.126%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -12.44%E -6.01%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV +3.94%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.066%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -12.44%E -6.01%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV +3.94%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.066%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -12.44%E -6.01%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV +3.94%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.066%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:40
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -12.44%E -6.01%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV +3.94%E +1.18%K +1.68%G +0.066%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 14:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -14.56%E -7.21%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV +0.839%E +0.258%K +0.373%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -16.25%E -8.21%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -0.712%E -0.222%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.40%E -7.70%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.78%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -5.37%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.68%EV -6.61%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -6.10%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.92%E -2.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.78%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.35%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -9.40%E -3.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.01%EV +1.63%E +0.427%K +0.579%G +0.009%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.02%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-30 14:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 14:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 14:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -6.94%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:49
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.29%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-30 14:50