L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Östers IF v IFK Norrkoping

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 1–3 IFK Norrkoping

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +0.969%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.65%23.83%23.92%25.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.883.904.3529.41%25.75%25.64%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.56%1.90cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.04%52.74%52.61%55.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.751.8262.50%57.95%57.31%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.48%4.26cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.331%
Kelly -0.434%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.05%23.43%23.48%24.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.64%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Östers IF (Local) : 23.96% ; IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur) : 52.56% ; Match nul : 23.48%. Pour Östers IF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.17. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +4.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +4.22%E +0.969%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.74%E -0.912%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 02:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +4.22%E +0.969%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.74%E -0.912%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +4.22%E +0.969%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.74%E -0.912%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 02:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +4.22%E +0.969%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -3.74%E -0.912%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 02:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -12.22%E -7.32%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 12:15
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:46
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:46
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:45
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:45
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.27%E -8.04%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 02:45
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -1.77%E -0.433%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.92%EV -14.32%E -8.79%K -22.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -9.61%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 02:45
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.65%EV -4.86%E -2.68%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53%EV -4.91%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.39%E -0.331%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 11:05
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -11.17%E -6.61%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -1.39%E -0.331%K -0.434%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 11:02
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -15.90%E -9.94%K -26.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 02:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -15.90%E -9.94%K -26.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 02:45
1xBet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -7.49%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.87%EV -8.90%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:13
Marathon Bet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.37%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.73%EV -8.90%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:10
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.74%E -0.912%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:04
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.78%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.99%EV -3.50%E -0.852%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.23%EV -8.90%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 15:30
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 12:25
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 12:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 15:35
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 15:31
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -7.49%E -4.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:40
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:45
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 05:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 11:05
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:20
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.64%E -6.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-17 19:25
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.52%EV -12.74%E -7.68%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 05:30
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.16%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -12.22%E -7.32%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 11:05
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.96%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 15:30
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.09%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:05
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 09:20
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.13%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 09:20
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -18.54%E -5.45%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -12.22%E -7.32%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.78%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-18 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20