La escuela de los momios

Östers IF v Falkenbergs FF

Inicio: 2026-06-21 13:02 UTC

Final: Östers IF 1–3 Falkenbergs FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Predicción 40.62%2.46momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.20%40.92%40.45%45.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.43%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.63%2.97momio equitativo
EV +9.31%
Ventaja +2.87%
Kelly +4.14%
Crecimiento +0.385%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%33.38%33.70%35.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.753.2540.00%36.30%36.30%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.75%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.07%25.71%25.85%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.553.7533.33%28.36%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.21%EV -14.30%E -6.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.31%E +2.87%K +4.14%G +0.385%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:59
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.21%E -3.63%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -1.79%E -0.612%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.36%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:58
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.40%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.40%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.40%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.40%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:59
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 13:00
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.60%EV -4.48%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -6.01%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.01%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 13:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 13:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 13:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-21 13:00
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -9.43%E -4.23%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -14.71%E -7.00%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 12:59
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -5.77%E -2.49%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -6.50%E -2.34%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 12:59
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -6.18%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -6.83%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 12:59
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -7.17%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -7.17%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 12:59
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -7.17%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 12:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-21 12:59
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-21 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.24%EV -11.46%E -5.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.16%E -3.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 12:59
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-21 12:58
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-21 12:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-21 12:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-21 13:00
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -7.40%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-21 13:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 12:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.19%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 12:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -10.87%E -4.10%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.54%E -4.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-21 12:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.88%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-21 13:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-21 12:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -8.61%E -3.83%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -11.88%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-21 13:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -12.55%E -4.83%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -14.71%E -7.00%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -12.55%E -4.83%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000%19.4%2026-06-21 12:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%EV -14.71%E -7.00%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.66%EV -15.91%E -6.37%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-21 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-21 13:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.24%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-06-21 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%3.0%2026-06-21 13:00