Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örebro SK v Nordic United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : Örebro SK 1–1 Nordic United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prévision 43.98%2.27cote équitable
EV +3.35%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +2.48%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.51%43.77%44.00%45.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.142.102.3551.28%46.75%47.62%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%30.55%30.31%33.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.933.003.2038.02%34.08%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.328%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.68%25.69%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.8530.77%28.63%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Örebro SK (Local) : 43.98% ; Nordic United FC (Visiteur) : 30.37% ; Match nul : 25.65%. Pour Örebro SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.27. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.35, soit une espérance positive de +3.35%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV +3.35%E +1.43%K +2.48%G +0.083%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV +3.35%E +1.43%K +2.48%G +0.083%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV +3.35%E +1.43%K +2.48%G +0.083%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV +3.35%E +1.43%K +2.48%G +0.083%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV +0.271%E +0.119%K +0.212%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:31
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -1.05%E -0.466%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -19.51%E -7.36%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-14 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.28%EV -20.11%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.28%EV -20.11%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-14 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 16:40
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 16:46
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 16:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.92%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.39%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:46
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.77%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -4.02%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:56
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.13%EV -7.21%E -3.41%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -4.02%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.26%E -0.328%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 16:46
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.80%E -0.875%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.80%E -0.875%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.39%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:56
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.80%E -0.875%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.39%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 16:56
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 16:51
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:47
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:56
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.03%EV -8.08%E -3.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.27%EV -7.66%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.70%EV -8.19%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.52%E -4.10%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.52%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 16:46
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:56
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:56
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:46
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 16:56
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:56
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -12.92%E -6.53%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.80%E -3.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 16:56
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -13.36%E -6.78%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 16:46
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.76%EV -14.24%E -7.30%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -10.24%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-14 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-14 16:56
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-14 16:56