La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v Landskrona BoIS

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 48.44%2.06momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -4.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.62%48.55%48.45%50.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.911.9755.56%52.34%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Landskrona BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 25.74%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.371%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.128%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.69%25.73%27.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.9030.30%28.45%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.82%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.582%
Ventaja -0.151%
Kelly -0.204%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%25.75%25.82%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.603.8532.26%28.23%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -8.45%E -4.47%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +0.371%E +0.095%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.16%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -8.45%E -4.47%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +0.371%E +0.095%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.16%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 12:40
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.46%EV -1.69%E -0.442%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.62%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.31%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.16%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:40
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -0.582%E -0.151%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:44
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 12:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -12.81%E -7.11%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 12:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.46%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 12:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.99%E -3.64%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:20
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.99%E -3.64%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 12:19
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:54
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.32%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 13:20
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 12:55
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.93%E -4.75%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 12:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.38%E -5.61%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 12:40
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -5.54%E -2.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -6.02%E -3.11%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.51%E -3.37%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 13:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:35
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.38%E -5.61%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 12:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.81%E -7.11%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -7.96%E -4.19%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.78%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.48%E -3.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:35
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -11.35%E -6.20%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.35%E -6.20%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.95%E -6.44%K -9.50%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-06 12:55