La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v Helsingborgs IF

Inicio: 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 1–2 Helsingborgs IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 41.91%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%41.98%41.92%43.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.39%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Helsingborgs IF (Visitante)

Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV -0.101%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%30.71%30.72%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.962.953.2535.71%33.84%33.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.482%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.31%27.36%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.303.6133.33%30.06%30.30%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:20
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -3.61%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:20
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:40
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 16:39
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:20
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -12.40%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 17:20
Coolbet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -6.96%E -3.14%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -0.101%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 13:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:49
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.56%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:50
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-26 16:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.78%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 16:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.80%E -3.55%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.78%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-26 16:40
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 43.53%EV -8.22%E -3.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.07%EV -2.56%E -0.808%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -1.26%E -0.348%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 16:50
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.64%EV -8.22%E -3.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -5.94%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 16:49
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 16:49
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 16:49
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 16:49
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -11.15%E -5.26%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-26 16:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.25%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 14:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.79%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 16:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.99%E -5.71%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.93%E -4.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-26 16:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -14.09%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.93%E -4.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-26 16:39
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.46%EV -14.09%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.33%EV -11.78%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-26 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-05-26 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-05-26 16:50