La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 0–1 GIF Sundsvall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 48.22%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.18%48.21%48.36%51.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.941.942.0557.14%51.64%51.68%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 24.12%4.15momio equitativo
EV +1.78%
Ventaja +0.421%
Kelly +0.552%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.98%24.11%24.13%26.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.654.2229.41%27.11%27.40%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.66%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.51%27.68%27.51%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.353.5134.72%30.37%29.85%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.34%EV -8.87%E -4.69%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.55%EV +1.78%E +0.421%K +0.552%G +0.010%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -2.90%E -0.826%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -15.62%E -8.92%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -1.12%E -0.273%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 16:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.46%E -3.33%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.42%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 16:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.53%E -0.882%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 16:49
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -7.42%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 16:49
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -7.42%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 16:50
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.01%EV -6.42%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 16:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 16:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 16:49
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 16:50
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -9.35%E -4.97%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.94%E -3.60%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 16:08
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.35%E -4.97%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-10 16:49
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.83%E -5.26%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.83%E -5.26%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.47%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-10 16:49
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -8.84%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -9.26%E -2.82%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 16:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.80%E -5.84%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -10.80%E -5.84%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -10.80%E -5.84%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.47%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-10 16:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.38%EV -13.21%E -7.34%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-10 16:50
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.39%E -4.41%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.39%E -4.41%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 16:49
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.76%E -6.43%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -20.33%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-10 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -1.15%E -0.562%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -1.15%E -0.562%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 14:19
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -1.15%E -0.562%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 14:20
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -1.15%E -0.562%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 14:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:19
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -16.79%E -4.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:19
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -18.00%E -5.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.47%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -18.00%E -5.29%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-06-10 16:50