La escuela de los momios

Norrby IF v IK Oddevold

Inicio: 2026-06-14 11:00 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 0–2 IK Oddevold

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norrby IF (Local)

Predicción 32.86%3.04momio equitativo
EV +10.08%
Ventaja +3.01%
Kelly +4.29%
Crecimiento +0.432%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%32.59%32.93%33.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.932.833.3538.46%34.17%35.27%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 40.31%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.861%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.53%40.62%40.27%44.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.222.252.4549.50%44.97%44.44%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -0.943%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%26.79%26.80%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.51%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +10.08%E +3.01%K +4.29%G +0.432%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +10.08%E +3.01%K +4.29%G +0.432%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 10:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +10.08%E +3.01%K +4.29%G +0.432%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 10:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV +10.08%E +3.01%K +4.29%G +0.432%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 10:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -16.97%E -8.24%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 10:30
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV +6.79%E +2.09%K +3.02%G +0.205%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -17.37%E -8.47%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 10:30
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +5.15%E +1.61%K +2.34%G +0.120%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -18.58%E -9.20%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:30
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 32.59%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 10:50
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 10:36
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 10:40
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 10:40
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.49%E -2.80%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 10:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -3.26%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 10:50
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 10:40
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.39%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -3.39%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 10:50
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -7.34%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.31%EV -4.07%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 10:50
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -1.25%E -0.510%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 10:50
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 10:50
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -1.65%E -0.677%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 10:50
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 10:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 10:49
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 10:49
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 10:40
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -8.98%E -3.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -4.88%E -2.07%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 10:50
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 10:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.10%E -3.55%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 10:51
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.30%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 10:40
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-14 10:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 10:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.31%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 10:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.58%E -5.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -15.36%E -7.31%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -19.50%E -6.50%K -9.75%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 10:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -13.91%E -5.31%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -13.34%E -6.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-14 10:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -14.57%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.34%E -6.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-06-14 10:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-06-14 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-06-14 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-06-14 10:51