La escuela de los momios

Nordic United FC v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 1–1 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Predicción 41.88%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.71%41.97%41.93%44.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.232.252.3550.00%44.88%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.181%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%31.16%31.12%32.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.883.2036.36%34.25%34.72%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.87%26.95%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.55%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.58%E -0.673%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.58%E -0.673%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 10:10
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.58%E -0.673%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.58%E -0.673%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.84%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 10:09
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 15:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 10:09
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.21%EV -5.35%E -2.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.30%E -1.06%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -5.35%E -2.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:19
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -5.35%E -2.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -5.35%E -2.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:19
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 41.74%EV -5.35%E -2.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 00:48
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.38%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 00:48
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-09 10:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -7.03%E -3.17%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:18
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 12:09
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -6.73%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-08 23:19
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-09 12:38
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Coolbet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.62%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -0.181%E -0.056%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 12:09
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-09 12:09
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 12:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.98%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-09 12:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 12:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-09 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.15%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.76%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-09 12:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -16.24%E -8.12%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-09 12:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-06-09 15:50