L’École des cotes

Nordic United FC v Helsingborgs IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 13:00 UTC

Score final : Nordic United FC 3–1 Helsingborgs IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prévision 35.74%2.80cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.657%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.27%35.64%35.63%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.632.8541.67%38.03%38.02%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Helsingborgs IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.71%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.753%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.29%37.86%37.87%40.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.402.392.6044.84%41.73%41.84%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.55%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.447%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.162%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%26.50%26.50%27.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.68%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +1.87%E +0.657%K +1.01%G +0.019%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -10.25%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 12:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 12:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.14%E -5.21%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 12:39
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV +0.084%E +0.030%K +0.047%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -0.631%E -0.227%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -8.75%E -3.61%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:40
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:39
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:40
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:40
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.70%E -0.619%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.91%E -7.13%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:39
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 12:35
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14%EV -5.64%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86%EV -4.98%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.00%EV -2.57%E -0.700%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 12:40
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.15%EV -6.11%E -2.45%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.60%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.61%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 12:34
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -7.78%E -3.02%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -4.98%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:45
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -1.96%E -0.753%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 12:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -3.84%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -7.61%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 12:35
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.39%E -4.84%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 12:44
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.50%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.50%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.39%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 12:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.25%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 12:40
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -11.00%E -4.42%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.55%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:44
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -12.43%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 12:45
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -12.43%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 12:35
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.41%EV -12.78%E -5.24%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.41%EV -12.78%E -5.24%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 37.41%EV -12.78%E -5.24%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 37.41%EV -12.78%E -5.24%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -5.73%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -14.21%E -5.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.50%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -0.447%E -0.119%K -0.162%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-11 12:45