Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK v Östers IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Score final : Ljungskile SK 2–3 Östers IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prévision 51.78%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.50%51.87%51.83%54.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.771.8760.61%56.46%56.50%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Östers IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV +0.895%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.279%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%23.94%23.89%25.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.754.2128.57%26.59%26.67%23.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.25%4.12cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.746%
Kelly -0.995%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%24.19%24.27%25.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.793.804.0027.78%26.35%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ljungskile SK (Local) : 51.78% ; Östers IF (Visiteur) : 23.97% ; Match nul : 24.25%. Pour Östers IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.21, soit une espérance positive de +0.895%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.05%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.62%EV +0.895%E +0.213%K +0.279%G +0.002%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.33%EV -8.81%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -1.74%E -0.425%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.31%E -4.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.31%E -4.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:59
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.31%E -4.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.31%E -4.09%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -14.56%E -8.83%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -6.28%E -3.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.76%E -3.16%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -7.11%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.73%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.73%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.21%E -2.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 10:34
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.93%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 08:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.24%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:59
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 08:09
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.35%E -4.72%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 08:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 08:35
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 10:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.42%E -6.02%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:15
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:14
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:14
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:14
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.83%E -4.40%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 10:29
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.42%E -6.02%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.92%EV -12.49%E -7.39%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.72%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.87%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -14.92%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -10.26%E -2.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -10.94%E -6.36%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -16.12%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -10.94%E -6.36%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -16.12%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:14
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.53%E -8.10%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -16.12%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-15 08:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-15 10:40
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-15 10:40