Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–1 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 38.30%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.52%38.50%38.46%41.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.362.382.5446.30%42.44%42.02%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.65%32.60%32.65%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.802.9638.46%35.55%35.71%33.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.43%28.90%28.89%30.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.23%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 38.30%; Östersunds FK (Visitante): 32.72%; Empate: 28.97%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.45. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -1.50%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.52%EV -2.71%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.94%E -0.879%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 10:15
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.73%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.25%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.02%EV -7.87%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.09%EV -5.00%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.09%EV -5.00%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:55
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.09%EV -5.00%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:55
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.09%EV -5.00%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:54
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -5.00%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.30%EV -8.05%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.42%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:35
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.05%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.61%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:50
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.50%E -0.440%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 10:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 10:55
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:45
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:40
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -14.27%E -5.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.22%E -3.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.22%E -3.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.50%E -0.440%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.50%E -0.440%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.50%E -0.440%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.50%E -0.440%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 10:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 10:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.92%E -5.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-29 10:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.68%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.64%EV -17.26%E -7.99%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.64%EV -17.26%E -7.99%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-08-29 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-08-29 10:50