La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v Östers IF

Inicio: 2026-05-04 17:05 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 2–2 Östers IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 41.30%2.42momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +0.109%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%41.09%41.34%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.5247.62%44.23%44.44%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östers IF (Visitante)

Predicción 30.82%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.28%31.10%30.77%34.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.883.1637.04%34.26%34.72%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.88%3.59momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.00%27.82%27.88%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.4534.72%30.41%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV +4.07%E +1.61%K +2.68%G +0.109%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.82%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -1.71%E -0.720%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -1.71%E -0.720%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:50
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -1.71%E -0.720%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -1.71%E -0.720%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:09
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -4.19%E -1.81%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -4.60%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -6.29%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 17:00
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.49%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.20%EV -2.59%E -0.821%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.32%EV -6.05%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 16:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 17:00
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 17:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:09
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -5.84%E -2.56%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.90%E -0.921%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.61%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:18
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:15
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.40%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 15:09
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -7.50%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -6.29%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 16:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 16:56
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 16:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 16:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:09
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:25
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 16:20
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.15%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 15:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.58%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 15:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.36%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-04 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.28%E -6.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 16:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.28%E -6.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-04 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -13.28%E -6.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -16.77%E -6.21%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -19.71%E -6.84%K -10.48%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-05-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-05-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-05-04 16:40