La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v Norrby IF

Inicio: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–1 Norrby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 46.48%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.82%46.50%46.24%48.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.992.002.0853.76%50.20%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 25.15%3.98momio equitativo
EV -0.661%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.224%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%25.19%25.28%27.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.553.9530.30%28.07%28.17%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.37%3.52momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.860%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.31%28.48%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4534.72%30.96%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.62%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 16:46
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:35
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:35
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:36
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.72%E -2.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:40
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.72%E -2.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -10.72%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.72%E -2.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:36
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.95%EV -5.65%E -2.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.11%E -0.611%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:55
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -15.75%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 16:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -3.18%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -0.661%E -0.167%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -0.661%E -0.167%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.72%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 16:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -17.01%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -17.01%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-12 16:36
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.98%E -4.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -7.98%E -4.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.72%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:56
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%EV -8.44%E -4.28%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.17%EV -2.67%E -0.691%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 16:55
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.01%EV -8.44%E -4.28%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -4.94%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:55
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 16:54
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 16:56
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 16:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 16:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 16:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.30%E -5.34%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.92%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:56
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -11.23%E -5.88%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 16:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.23%E -5.88%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 16:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.23%E -5.88%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 16:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.23%E -5.88%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -11.23%E -5.88%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.28%E -6.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-12 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -13.09%E -7.00%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-12 16:45
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -13.55%E -7.29%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-12 16:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-05-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-05-12 16:55