La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v Nordic United FC

Inicio: 2026-06-16 17:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 2–0 Nordic United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 38.56%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.73%38.44%40.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.18%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.95%2.86momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +0.707%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.73%34.83%35.03%36.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.622.9040.82%37.66%38.17%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -4.62%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%26.44%26.53%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.483.6034.72%29.10%28.74%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV +1.34%E +0.463%K +0.707%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -2.15%E -0.768%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -2.15%E -0.768%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -2.15%E -0.768%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -2.15%E -0.768%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 38.97%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -2.50%E -0.896%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -5.68%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 16:50
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -10.54%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 16:20
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 16:50
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -12.09%E -5.30%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.24%E -3.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -13.24%E -5.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-16 16:50
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -6.69%E -2.76%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.75%EV -6.00%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -7.00%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:50
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.78%EV -7.85%E -3.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.34%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.80%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 16:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 16:40
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.39%E -3.99%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.24%E -3.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-16 16:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 16:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 16:30
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 16:50
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 16:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 16:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.60%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 16:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-16 16:40
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-16 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:10
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:10
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:10
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:10
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.39%E -3.99%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-16 16:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.23%E -3.46%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-16 16:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -15.17%E -6.90%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-16 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.63%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.69%E -8.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-16 16:10
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -14.38%E -5.87%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-16 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-06-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-06-16 16:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-06-16 16:40
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-06-16 16:50