Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS v Ljungskile SK

Inicio: 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Ljungskile SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.926%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.91%37.65%40.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.5944.44%41.80%41.67%38.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Predicción 34.97%2.86momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.492%
Kelly +0.750%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.20%34.73%34.96%35.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.662.9041.67%37.26%37.59%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.34%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.604%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.36%27.39%29.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.303.6034.72%30.13%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 37.68%; Ljungskile SK (Visitante): 34.97%; Empate: 27.34%. Para Ljungskile SK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.86. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -11.44%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV +1.43%E +0.492%K +0.750%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -11.44%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV +1.43%E +0.492%K +0.750%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -11.44%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV +1.43%E +0.492%K +0.750%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -11.44%E -4.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV +1.43%E +0.492%K +0.750%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:30
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -0.323%E -0.113%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -15.21%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -2.07%E -0.740%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 17:30
Coolbet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -8.05%E -3.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.82%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.57%E -0.436%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 06:30
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.88%EV -2.40%E -0.926%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.11%EV -4.87%E -1.79%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.01%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.57%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -15.21%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -5.57%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.77%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -6.27%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.77%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV -6.27%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.54%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.27%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 00:30
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.54%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.27%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 00:30
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -6.92%E -2.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -6.97%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -6.92%E -2.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -6.97%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.32%E -2.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 00:13
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.79%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.37%E -3.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 00:15
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:28
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:31
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.31%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 07:59
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.69%E -4.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.69%E -4.51%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:25
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.07%E -3.49%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.82%E -4.24%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.56%E -3.98%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.56%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -10.31%E -4.33%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.56%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.56%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.26%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-18 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -14.31%E -5.84%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 12:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.33%E -5.79%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -16.06%E -6.69%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 00:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-18 14:35
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-04-18 14:35