La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v IFK Norrkoping

2026-07-28 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 29.18%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.586%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%29.24%29.17%32.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.3635.71%32.62%32.26%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.162%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.66%44.68%44.81%47.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.092.052.2352.63%47.73%48.78%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.613%
Kelly -0.836%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%26.08%26.02%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.60%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 27.95%EV -1.97%E -0.586%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.04%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.01%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 07:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -14.94%E -7.86%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 04:00
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.56%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.98%EV -7.33%E -3.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.29%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 05:25
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.64%EV -6.43%E -3.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:10
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.64%EV -6.43%E -3.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:10
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:29
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -8.29%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 05:19
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.06%E -0.478%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.30%E -0.613%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 17:00
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 09:09
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 09:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:10
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 10:10
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 10:10
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 17:07
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 06:05
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.60%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 09:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 09:10
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 17:05
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 09:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 06:34
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 09:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 07:35
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 07:35
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 07:35
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 07:35
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 17:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 17:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 17:04
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.80%EV -10.91%E -5.48%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -0.162%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -0.162%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 17:05
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -0.162%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 17:05
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -0.162%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 17:05
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 13:04
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -15.97%E -5.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:05
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -16.85%E -5.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -1.51%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -18.31%E -6.54%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.71%EV -3.30%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-07-26 05:10