Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 4–0 GIF Sundsvall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 68.20%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.769%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.82%68.10%68.08%70.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.371.361.4578.13%73.24%73.53%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 12.43%8.05momio equitativo
EV +5.65%
Ventaja +0.665%
Kelly +0.753%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.91%12.44%12.59%14.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.087.008.5016.67%14.13%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.37%5.16momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.403%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%19.46%19.33%21.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.554.505.2524.39%21.98%22.22%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 68.20%; GIF Sundsvall (Visitante): 12.43%; Empate: 19.37%. Para GIF Sundsvall (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.05. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.65%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV +5.65%E +0.665%K +0.753%G +0.043%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 16:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV +5.65%E +0.665%K +0.753%G +0.043%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -12.71%E -9.93%K -45.39%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV +1.92%E +0.234%K +0.267%G +0.005%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 13:41
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -0.566%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.62%E -6.43%K -25.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -0.566%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-15 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -0.566%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -11.34%E -8.73%K -37.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -0.566%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -11.34%E -8.73%K -37.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -0.566%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.08%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.22%EV -3.05%E -0.391%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -1.19%E -0.234%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 09:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.52%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -3.67%E -0.474%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.69%EV -11.34%E -8.73%K -37.81%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.35%EV -3.67%E -0.474%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-15 16:21
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.35%EV -5.21%E -3.75%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.51I 13.32%NM 12.65%EV -6.66%E -0.886%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.78%E -0.904%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:26
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -6.78%E -0.904%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -6.78%E -0.904%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.78%E -0.904%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 16:21
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -9.89%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -9.89%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -16.69%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 16:45
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 16:45
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.51%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 13:44
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 16:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 14:40
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 14:40
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 14:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -11.34%E -8.73%K -37.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -12.99%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-15 16:45
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -16.10%E -2.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -16.10%E -2.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 13:45
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +1.71%E +0.326%K +0.403%G +0.007%6.9%2026-09-15 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -1.11%E -0.769%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -1.11%E -0.769%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -1.11%E -0.769%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -1.11%E -0.769%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -14.75%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 16:30
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.21%E -2.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 16:51
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -3.16%E -2.23%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.86%EV -24.18%E -3.96%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -17.66%E -4.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -25.42%E -4.24%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.83%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -25.42%E -4.24%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -20.57%E -5.02%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.83%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -25.42%E -4.24%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -20.57%E -5.02%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-09-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-09-15 16:55
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-09-15 16:55