La escuela de los momios

IK Oddevold v Östers IF

Inicio: 2026-04-20 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 1–2 Östers IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%39.88%39.96%41.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4046.51%43.33%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östers IF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.73%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.17%33.73%33.75%35.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.722.702.8838.46%36.82%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.460%
Ventaja +0.121%
Kelly +0.164%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.31%26.40%26.29%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.463.503.8034.72%28.86%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV +0.460%E +0.121%K +0.164%G +0.001%8.3%2026-04-20 16:45
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 40.58%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -4.87%E -1.73%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.47%EV -0.598%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 16:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.95%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -0.862%E -0.230%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 16:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:35
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:35
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.77%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.77%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:45
BetAnything2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.77%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -8.58%E -3.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 16:50
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:34
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 16:35
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 16:54
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -9.19%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 16:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:49
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -14.37%E -6.68%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 16:45
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 16:45
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 16:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -2.85%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 16:49
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 16:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 16:55
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.78%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 16:50
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 16:44
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:50
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 16:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 16:49
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 16:50
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 16:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.38%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 16:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -14.37%E -6.68%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -5.60%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 16:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -5.60%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -23.86%E -8.29%K -12.69%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-20 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-20 16:55
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-20 16:55