La escuela de los momios

IK Oddevold v IFK Norrkoping

Inicio: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 1–2 IFK Norrkoping

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Predicción 37.09%2.70momio equitativo
EV +1.63%
Ventaja +0.595%
Kelly +0.937%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.80%36.95%37.14%38.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.7443.48%39.89%39.92%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 36.44%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.736%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.07%36.54%36.37%39.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.482.6943.48%40.02%40.32%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.67%26.51%26.49%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.6533.33%29.01%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%EV +1.63%E +0.595%K +0.937%G +0.015%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -11.09%E -4.54%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -3.39%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:19
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:17
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.39%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:19
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 15:19
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.53%E -2.59%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.07%EV -2.34%E -0.875%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.53%E -2.59%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.07%EV -2.34%E -0.875%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 15:19
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.53%E -2.59%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.07%EV -2.34%E -0.875%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 15:19
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.53%E -2.59%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.07%EV -2.34%E -0.875%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.05%EV -6.90%E -2.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.50%EV -1.98%E -0.736%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.45%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:19
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:16
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.70%EV -8.76%E -3.56%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.81%EV -5.62%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:18
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.70%EV -8.76%E -3.56%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.81%EV -5.62%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 15:18
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-09 15:19
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-09 15:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 15:19
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.59%E -6.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-09 15:19
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -14.69%E -6.39%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-09 15:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -14.69%E -6.39%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.19%E -7.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-09 15:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-06-09 15:19