L’École des cotes

IK Brage v IK Oddevold

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Score final : IK Brage 3–4 IK Oddevold

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Prévision 35.43%2.82cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.23%35.67%35.33%38.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.542.552.7243.48%39.42%39.22%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Oddevold (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.01%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.961%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.97%35.83%36.00%36.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.562.7541.67%38.52%39.06%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV -0.038%
Avantage -0.011%
Kelly -0.015%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.50%28.67%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.223.253.5034.72%31.10%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%EV -3.64%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.62%EV -3.48%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -6.89%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 10:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.35%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 10:49
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.06%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.08%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.06%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -7.08%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.12%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.12%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 09:18
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 10:14
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.60%EV -7.80%E -3.05%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.89%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.60%EV -7.80%E -3.05%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.89%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.64I 37.88%NM 34.52%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.60%EV -7.80%E -3.05%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -12.89%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 12:01
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:18
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 09:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 10:10
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 10:10
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.19%E -2.74%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 10:10
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.89%E -3.04%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 10:15
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.89%E -3.04%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 12:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -7.89%E -3.04%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -14.32%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -3.48%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -0.038%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 09:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.89%E -0.851%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 13:09
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -2.89%E -0.851%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 21:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.66%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 21:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.44%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.44%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:14
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.44%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 21:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.44%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.57%E -5.65%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -12.14%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:19
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -12.14%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:19
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -12.14%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -12.14%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -0.961%E -0.350%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 10:04
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -13.21%E -5.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 13:05
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:20
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:20
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:20
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:19
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:19
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -13.92%E -5.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 21:19
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -14.98%E -6.24%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.98%E -6.24%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -9.96%E -3.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.75%E -6.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-09 13:04
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -15.69%E -6.59%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 21:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -18.52%E -8.05%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -11.77%E -4.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-12 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.52%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-04-12 10:50