La escuela de los momios

IFK Värnamo v Nordic United FC

Inicio: 2026-05-31 13:02 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 0–2 Nordic United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Predicción 40.64%2.46momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.73%40.61%40.66%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.202.3647.62%44.85%45.45%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.84%33.75%33.76%34.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.762.752.9038.17%36.19%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.61%3.90momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%25.63%25.58%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.71%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 12:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.73%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -8.20%E -3.02%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 13:00
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.34%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.08%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 12:59
BetAnything2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.90%E -2.09%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.34%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.08%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 12:59
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.11%EV -5.71%E -2.46%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.96%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 12:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.24%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 13:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 13:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 13:00
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.67%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.29%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 12:59
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.18%EV -7.75%E -3.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -4.99%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 12:59
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -2.80%E -0.973%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.52%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 13:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 12:58
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 13:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 12:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -14.21%E -4.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 12:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.13%E -0.733%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -11.65%E -3.38%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.37%E -4.20%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.13%E -0.733%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -11.65%E -3.38%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 12:59
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 12:59
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 13:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 13:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 13:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.80%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 13:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-31 13:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 13:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 13:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -11.81%E -5.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.21%E -4.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -11.81%E -5.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.21%E -4.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 13:00
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -11.81%E -5.44%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -14.21%E -4.24%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 13:00
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.62%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 12:59
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.62%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 13:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.62%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -13.03%E -6.09%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.49%E -4.69%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -14.66%E -6.98%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -11.24%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.17%E -7.72%K -11.59%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-31 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%3.8%2026-05-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.81%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%3.8%2026-05-31 13:00
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 40.65%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%4.3%2026-05-31 13:00